Part Cuban American experience, part books, part movies, part life.
Monday, October 27, 2008
Thought for the Day
Brent Crude hit $59.00 a barrel today. Does that mean global oil consumption has fallen to less than half? So much for speculators not being a major driver of meteoric oil prices.
I've come to the conclusion that the high prices were driven largely by a weak dollar. Now that other world currencies are tanking the dollar is relatively stronger.
My bad. I hadn't thought of the dollar. It still doesn't account for the degree of the drop, however. Speculation was big. Even pension funds were in on it.
It was published in Barron's in June predicting a decline in the price.
Yes there was a degree of speculation jacking the price up but there were other factors as well. Also consider that many American HAVE cut back on driving and thus somewhat on demand.
Remember the great opportunities waiting out there for American businesses if only the embargo were lifted? Take a gander at Cuba's outstanding debt, that is the amount the bankrupt nation owes the rest of the world here.
Some highlights:
Venezuela $11.367 billion
Spain $3.200 billion
China $3.170 billion
Japan $2.775 billion
That's just the top 4 on the list provided by the Cuba Transition Project. What was that about extending credit to the regime?
5 comments:
I've come to the conclusion that the high prices were driven largely by a weak dollar. Now that other world currencies are tanking the dollar is relatively stronger.
Check out this chart.
LINK
Now look at this chart:
LINK
My bad. I hadn't thought of the dollar. It still doesn't account for the degree of the drop, however. Speculation was big. Even pension funds were in on it.
Read this article:
LINK
It was published in Barron's in June predicting a decline in the price.
Yes there was a degree of speculation jacking the price up but there were other factors as well. Also consider that many American HAVE cut back on driving and thus somewhat on demand.
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